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Description
Feel free to donate to my Patreon www.patreon.com/rvbomally

I wanted to finish this within the first week of Fallout 4's release, but for various reasons I kept putting it off or only working on it in short bursts. Anyway, here it is, my take on the world of Fallout just before the Great War. Lots of speculation, and I have yet to play Fallout 4, so if anything in that game contradicts what's on here, whoops! Many thanks to those who helped me out with ideas, such as B_Munro/QuantumBranching and his Fallout maps, which gave me a few ideas for the Middle East and Africa, and Mathuen/Mattystereo, who gave me direct suggestions on Europe and Africa.

---

Mr. President,

The present geopolitical situation is unstable and is deteriorating quickly. American interests are being threatened on every continent. Our economy is also far too large for current stockpiles of nuclear fuel to sustain. Naturally, using our strategic defense reserves - or, God forbid, decommissioning nuclear weaponry - presents an unacceptable strategic weakness to our Red foes. Oil cannot fill this gap - the last drops of recoverable[1] oil on the planet already being drilled for and consumed.[2] Reduction in consumption is not an option; the American people demand that their standard of living be maintained, and the shortages we have experienced as of late have already led to major social unrest. Combined with the financial and human cost of continuing the Canadian occupation, the possibility of civil war arising from the marked reduction in the average American's standard of living is very real.

The resource crunch means we can no longer rely on our Soviet allies. Their opportunistic seizure of territory in the Middle East, South Asia and Europe at the conclusion of the Resource Wars demonstrates a belligerence within the Soviet regime that we have not seen in a century. Make no mistake, their rhetoric of defending the Motherland from fascism and Islamism is nothing but a load of hot air. I have no doubt that the Kremlin considers us a competitor for resources, particularly as they themselves suffer from famine. The only reason they have not seized more of Europe is that there is nothing there to steal. When the time comes, we must acknowledge the fact that the Soviet Union will stab us in the back.

We must also consider the option of military operations against Brazil. While the Brazilians have been content to cooperate with us for most of the past two centuries, the weaknesses of their Integralist system are beginning to show. They are incapable of securing their own border, and they have been steadily losing to communist insurgents in Colombia. The Venezuelan-Brazilian alliance will remain strong, particularly as the Venezuelans need Brazilian defense, and the Brazilians need Venezuelan oil more than ever, but if the Brazilians are incapable of defeating communist insurgents, then they stand little chance against the Marines.

We must write off Europe, the Middle East and Africa, for the sake of optimizing military resources. The Europeans chose their fate when they formed their Commonwealth and thought they could be neutral in the international fight against communism. That their experiment with neutrality led to the fascist resurgence, the Red Insurgency, the Resource Wars, and now their ongoing civil war, only demonstrates their fundamental lack of vision. The United Kingdom has locked itself behind its automated defenses, and our attempts to pierce them to determine what is transpiring behind their wall have been in vain. The Middle East has been picked clean by the Europeans and the Soviets; there is nothing left for us there but fanatics. Likewise, Africa's rare earths and uranium have long since been mined. South Africa is on the brink of civil war between its white and colored population, and I have strong evidence showing that the Chinese intend to involve themselves in this conflict. I strongly suggest a policy of retreat from supporting the neo-Nazi regimes of Angola, Mozambique and Rhodesia; they have nothing to offer us.

Our most recent efforts to defeat the Red Chinese in Alaska have been met with defeat. They grow bolder on every front: Korea, Vietnam, Peru, Indonesia. The Chinese have more people and fewer resources than us, and thus they have more to gain from provocations. We must redouble our efforts to contain the Red Chinese threat, to demonstrate to Chairman Cheng that the United States will not be bullied. I understand that a policy of strength increases the chances of a global nuclear war and the end of the United States, but as my father once told me: better dead than red.

The environmental degradation resulting from the nuclear exchanges of the Resource Wars and the Indo-Pakistani War is pushing every surviving world power - ourselves included - to ever more desperate measures. While I am aware of new technologies being developed to counter the rapidly decreasing global temperatures and the continuing growth of every desert on the planet, we cannot rely on these as-of-yet theoretical wonders. A global nuclear war will start far before these technologies can be implemented. We must seriously consider the possibilities that are now open to us: (1) the use of the Forced Evolutionary Virus to modify the human genome and allow it to thrive in a degenerated, radioactive environment; (2) establish colonies on the Moon and other celestial bodies; and (3) use the successful subjects of Project Safehouse as the seed of a new America.

Signed,

Secretary John Eden, Department of Defense

[1] The Great War being caused by an oil crisis, when the Fallout universe is obviously far more reliant on nuclear energy, made no sense to me.

[2] I'm guessing the Fallout universe never quite figured out OTL's modern hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling, and have written off many sources of oil and natural gas as simply impossible to recover. Given their reliance on nuclear power early on in history, I can see why this technology would not be looked into until it was far too late.

Description
Feel free to donate to my Patreon www.patreon.com/rvbomally

I wanted to finish this within the first week of Fallout 4's release, but for various reasons I kept putting it off or only working on it in short bursts. Anyway, here it is, my take on the world of Fallout just before the Great War. Lots of speculation, and I have yet to play Fallout 4, so if anything in that game contradicts what's on here, whoops! Many thanks to those who helped me out with ideas, such as B_Munro/QuantumBranching and his Fallout maps, which gave me a few ideas for the Middle East and Africa, and Mathuen/Mattystereo, who gave me direct suggestions on Europe and Africa.

---

Mr. President,

The present geopolitical situation is unstable and is deteriorating quickly. American interests are being threatened on every continent. Our economy is also far too large for current stockpiles of nuclear fuel to sustain. Naturally, using our strategic defense reserves - or, God forbid, decommissioning nuclear weaponry - presents an unacceptable strategic weakness to our Red foes. Oil cannot fill this gap - the last drops of recoverable[1] oil on the planet already being drilled for and consumed.[2] Reduction in consumption is not an option; the American people demand that their standard of living be maintained, and the shortages we have experienced as of late have already led to major social unrest. Combined with the financial and human cost of continuing the Canadian occupation, the possibility of civil war arising from the marked reduction in the average American's standard of living is very real.

The resource crunch means we can no longer rely on our Soviet allies. Their opportunistic seizure of territory in the Middle East, South Asia and Europe at the conclusion of the Resource Wars demonstrates a belligerence within the Soviet regime that we have not seen in a century. Make no mistake, their rhetoric of defending the Motherland from fascism and Islamism is nothing but a load of hot air. I have no doubt that the Kremlin considers us a competitor for resources, particularly as they themselves suffer from famine. The only reason they have not seized more of Europe is that there is nothing there to steal. When the time comes, we must acknowledge the fact that the Soviet Union will stab us in the back.

We must also consider the option of military operations against Brazil. While the Brazilians have been content to cooperate with us for most of the past two centuries, the weaknesses of their Integralist system are beginning to show. They are incapable of securing their own border, and they have been steadily losing to communist insurgents in Colombia. The Venezuelan-Brazilian alliance will remain strong, particularly as the Venezuelans need Brazilian defense, and the Brazilians need Venezuelan oil more than ever, but if the Brazilians are incapable of defeating communist insurgents, then they stand little chance against the Marines.

We must write off Europe, the Middle East and Africa, for the sake of optimizing military resources. The Europeans chose their fate when they formed their Commonwealth and thought they could be neutral in the international fight against communism. That their experiment with neutrality led to the fascist resurgence, the Red Insurgency, the Resource Wars, and now their ongoing civil war, only demonstrates their fundamental lack of vision. The United Kingdom has locked itself behind its automated defenses, and our attempts to pierce them to determine what is transpiring behind their wall have been in vain. The Middle East has been picked clean by the Europeans and the Soviets; there is nothing left for us there but fanatics. Likewise, Africa's rare earths and uranium have long since been mined. South Africa is on the brink of civil war between its white and colored population, and I have strong evidence showing that the Chinese intend to involve themselves in this conflict. I strongly suggest a policy of retreat from supporting the neo-Nazi regimes of Angola, Mozambique and Rhodesia; they have nothing to offer us.

Our most recent efforts to defeat the Red Chinese in Alaska have been met with defeat. They grow bolder on every front: Korea, Vietnam, Peru, Indonesia. The Chinese have more people and fewer resources than us, and thus they have more to gain from provocations. We must redouble our efforts to contain the Red Chinese threat, to demonstrate to Chairman Cheng that the United States will not be bullied. I understand that a policy of strength increases the chances of a global nuclear war and the end of the United States, but as my father once told me: better dead than red.

The environmental degradation resulting from the nuclear exchanges of the Resource Wars and the Indo-Pakistani War is pushing every surviving world power - ourselves included - to ever more desperate measures. While I am aware of new technologies being developed to counter the rapidly decreasing global temperatures and the continuing growth of every desert on the planet, we cannot rely on these as-of-yet theoretical wonders. A global nuclear war will start far before these technologies can be implemented. We must seriously consider the possibilities that are now open to us: (1) the use of the Forced Evolutionary Virus to modify the human genome and allow it to thrive in a degenerated, radioactive environment; (2) establish colonies on the Moon and other celestial bodies; and (3) use the successful subjects of Project Safehouse as the seed of a new America.

Signed,

Secretary John Eden, Department of Defense

[1] The Great War being caused by an oil crisis, when the Fallout universe is obviously far more reliant on nuclear energy, made no sense to me.

[2] I'm guessing the Fallout universe never quite figured out OTL's modern hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling, and have written off many sources of oil and natural gas as simply impossible to recover. Given their reliance on nuclear power early on in history, I can see why this technology would not be looked into until it was far too late.